The Macroeconomic Outlook: A Balancing Act

The Macroeconomic Outlook: A Balancing Act



Now that the yield-curve has inverted for the first time since 2007, should investors brace for impact? Few indicators have been more accurate, or followed, than the spread of short- and long-term Treasuries. In combination with the Fed's recent pivot to a more dovish stance and the continued slack in global growth, the macroeconomic outlook does look gloomy. But if staying on the sidelines is no option, how can investors make sense of—and find value in—a volatile environment that seems to be dominated by socioeconomic developments? How can new technologies provide solutions to the current challenges facing globalization and open trade? And what geopolitical, economic, and market indicators should investors consider as they think about asset allocation strategies?

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Komal Sri-Kumar

Senior Fellow, Milken Institute; President, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, Inc.



James McCormack

Global Head, Sovereign and Supranational Group, Fitch Ratings


Seema Shah

Senior Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors


Nathan Sheets

Chief Economist and Head of Global Macroeconomic Research, PGIM Fixed Income


Christopher Smart

Head, Barings Investment Institute


Bryan Whalen

Group Managing Director, U.S. Fixed Income, The TCW Group