This study charts the benefits to the wider economy from the use of financial derivatives and is a first-of-its-kind examination of derivatives' quantitative impact on economic growth. It charts the positive effects in the U.S. economy from their use, both in the financial and non-financial sectors.
The study found that:
• Banks' use of derivatives, by permitting greater extension of credit to the private sector, combined with the use of derivatives by non-financial firms, expanded U.S. real GDP for about $3.7 billion each quarter from 2003 to 2012.
• The total increase in economic activity was 1.1 percent ($149.5 billion) between 2003 and 2012.
• By the end of 2012, employment had been boosted in these years by 530,400 (0.6 percent) and industrial production 2.1 percent, due to the use of derivatives.
To understand the study's findings, it is important to understand how they were derived. The use of derivatives by banks and non-financial firms has an indirect impact on economic growth via multiple channels. To gauge the overall impact, the analysis is divided into two steps. First, researchers estimated the influence of banks' derivative usage in lending and also the effects stemming from their use by non-financial firms on the value of those firms. Second, researchers linked these results to the economy overall.
Although derivatives influence the U.S. economy in several ways, the Milken Institute research focuses especially on credit extension and firm value. The Institute's statistical analysis demonstrates that the derivative usage by banks allows for a larger volume of commercial and industrial loans, increasing business investment. It also confirms that investors assign higher valuations to non-financial firms that use derivative products—valuations that boost their willingness and ability to expand operations.
Countries undergoing population aging today are facing a much different experience than their historical counterparts. One only needs to look at the countries in Asia to see how these trends are unfolding. Demographic aging is happening...
The Milken Institute Center for Strategic Philanthropy and the Ann Theodore Foundation have released a new request for proposals (RFP) focused on understanding the underlying biology of sarcoidosis. Applications are open through January 20...
Even before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the United States was confronted with a number of significant policy concerns. Today, working together to solve those challenges is more imperative than ever. The Milken Institute is committed...
The 26th annual Milken Institute Global Conference convened the best minds in the world to tackle its most urgent challenges and realize its most exciting opportunities. Throughout the four-day event, our health teams curated nearly three...
While some sounds can be annoying for most people, for a few, certain sounds like chewing, sniffling, or pen clicking can trigger an intense physical and emotional response. Those with this condition can experience increased heart rate...
The Financial Innovations Labs® and FasterCures teams have collaborated on a project to identify new models for financing the antimicrobial resistant antibiotic pipeline. These past 18 months have demonstrated how consequential public...
This year’s report, Building a Resilient America: The New Consensus for Action, is part of The Milken Institute-Harris Poll Listening Project, now in its fifth year, which surveys socioeconomic, institutional, and political barriers to...
In this collection of essays from the Center for the Future of Aging, experts identify challenges and opportunities in realizing the potential of healthy, productive and purposeful aging.